A review on time estimation methods for post-earthquake damage repair of buildings

Abstract

Time is one of the three defining factors of a construction project. Due to the uncertainty of earthquake damage repair projects, a more accurate time estimation method is required. This paper focuses on the adaptability of Bromilow’s time cost model (BTC model), critical path method, program evaluation and review technique (PERT) and Monte Carlo simulations to achieve this task. Monte Carlo method was identified as the best method out of methods above to estimate post-earthquake damages. Attributes such as accounting for uncertainty, use network diagrams, sequencing of work activities and current practical applications justify this suggestion. Further research is suggested to verify this theoretical suggestion.