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dc.contributor.author Fernando, M
dc.contributor.author Sigera, I
dc.contributor.editor Adhikariwatte, W
dc.contributor.editor Rathnayake, M
dc.contributor.editor Hemachandra, K
dc.date.accessioned 2022-10-20T05:11:43Z
dc.date.available 2022-10-20T05:11:43Z
dc.date.issued 2021-07
dc.identifier.citation M. Fernando and I. Sigera, "Assessing the Oil Supply Chain Risk in Sri Lankan Petroleum Industry," 2021 Moratuwa Engineering Research Conference (MERCon), 2021, pp. 374-379, doi: 10.1109/MERCon52712.2021.9525691. en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://dl.lib.uom.lk/handle/123/19166
dc.description.abstract Energy security is a critical challenge in today's world. The petroleum product supply chain is highly uncertain due to geopolitical tension and inherent complexity. Sri Lankan petroleum product requirement entirely relies on the global oil supply chain. The research was planned to study the oil supply chain risk in Sri Lanka. Risk factors and disruptions were identified using a literature review and a pilot survey. The expert opinion survey was conducted along with probability impact analysis to assess the risk factors. It was highlighted that the lack of infrastructure facilities is the main barrier to ensure energy security in Sri Lanka. Gasoline was identified as the most vulnerable refined product type due to ever-increasing demand. Subsequently, a forecasting model was developed using ARIMA to determine the future Gasoline demand. It was revealed that additional monthly Gasoline shipment will be required in the next two years' time. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher IEEE en_US
dc.relation.uri https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9525691 en_US
dc.subject Oil supply chain risk en_US
dc.subject Sri Lankan petroleum industry en_US
dc.subject probability impact analysis en_US
dc.subject expert opinion en_US
dc.subject ARIMA en_US
dc.title Assessing the oil supply chain risk in Sri Lankan petroleum industry en_US
dc.type Conference-Full-text en_US
dc.identifier.faculty Engineering en_US
dc.identifier.department Engineering Research Unit, University of Moratuwa en_US
dc.identifier.year 2021 en_US
dc.identifier.conference Moratuwa Engineering Research Conference 2021 en_US
dc.identifier.place Moratuwa, Sri Lanka en_US
dc.identifier.pgnos pp. 374-379 en_US
dc.identifier.proceeding Proceedings of Moratuwa Engineering Research Conference 2021 en_US
dc.identifier.doi 10.1109/MERCon52712.2021.9525691 en_US


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