An automated decision-making framework for precipitation-related workflows

Abstract

Due to weather’s chaotic nature, static workflow managers are ineffective in integrating multiple Numerical Weather Models (NWMs) with cascading relationships. Unexpected events like flash floods and breakdown in canal water control systems or reservoirs make decision-making in workflow management further complicated. To enable dynamic decision-making, we need to update part or entire workflow, terminate unfitting NWM executions, and trigger parallel NWM workflows based on recent results from NWMs and observed conditions. Most of the existing weather-related decision support systems cannot trigger or create workflows dynamically. They are also designed for specific geography or functionality, making it challenging to customize for regions with different weather patterns. In this paper, we present an automated decision-making framework for precipitation-related workflows. The proposed framework can manage complex weather-related workflows dynamically in response to varying weather conditions, automatically control and monitor those workflows, and update workflow paths in response to unexpected weather events. Using significant flood-related datasets from the Colombo catchment area, we demonstrate that the proposed framework can achieve 100% accuracy in dynamic workflow generation and path updates compared to manual workflow controlling. Also, we demonstrate that unexpected event identification and pumping station controlling workflow triggers could be improved with advance rule sets.